IRA Ceasefire: This is not peace; it is simply the prelude to a different war: Conor Cruise O'Brien warns that the IRA's struggle for a united Ireland will continue - and the bombs and bullets could return
this was the headline for the IRA ceasefire break down and this what they said.
THE IRA has announced 'a complete cessation of military operations'. This is a lot less than 'the permanent cessation of violence' which the Dublin and London governments have asked for, although Dublin is busy trying to blur the distinction. The indications are that the ceasefire will not be prolonged. Gerry Adams has stipulated that it must be accompanied by what he calls 'rapid progress on constitutional and other issues'. John Major is unlikely to supply 'progress' on a scale and in a manner satisfactory to the IRA. Once that is fully apparent, the IRA will break off the ceasefire, putting the blame for ensuing violence on British bad faith.

For the IRA, the new ceasefire is a promising tactical innovation, within a strategy that remains altogether unchanged. The immediate objective remains the destabilisation of Northern Ireland, with a view to its elimination as a political entity and its incorporation in a Catholic-dominated united Ireland.

The 'armed struggle' of the IRA over the past quarter of a century has seen considerable progress towards this goal. The 'unarmed struggle' (aka 'unarmed strategy') will dominate the period of the ceasefire, and is intended to speed up the destabilisation. According to Tuesday's Irish Times: 'The elements of this are expected to include street protests, civil disobedience, agitation over the closure of Border roads and community self- help against loyalist attacks'. Those who expect the ceasefire to usher in a new era of peace and harmony in Northern Ireland are in for a rude awakening.










